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31 julio, 2025

Screening or Scaring?

Posted on: 
Wednesday, July 30th 2025 at 12:15 pm
Written By: 
Sayer Ji, Founder

Debunking the Telegraph's PSA Push--and What the Evidence Actually Says

A Coordinated Media Campaign, Not a Scientific Consensus

In the final week of July 2025, The Telegraph launched a high-profile campaign calling for a national PSA-based prostate cancer screening programme in the UK. Across three tightly coordinated articles (July 26, 29, and 30), the paper asserted--with growing certainty--that such a programme would save 4,800 lives per year, cost less than breast cancer screening, and deliver a 7-to-1 benefit-to-harm ratio.

This is a bold claim. But it rests on a flimsy foundation: an unpublished economic model built by Deloitte for the charity Prostate Cancer Research. The data have not been peer-reviewed, independently validated, or released for scrutiny. In short, this is not evidence. It is a lobbying campaign disguised as healthcare reform.

And it's not limited to Britain. With global media networks syndicating such stories--and influential nonprofits echoing them internationally--it's important to scrutinize these proposals from both a British and a global public health perspective, including the official stance of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

What the Best Global Evidence Shows: Screening ≠ Mortality Reduction

Let's start with what large, long-term randomized controlled trials (RCTs)--the gold standard of medical research--actually say about PSA screening.

Study

Population

Mortality Benefit

Harms

CAP Trial (UK)

400,000 men

<1 death prevented per 1,000 screened1

1 in 6 detected cancers were non-lethal

ERSPC Trial (EU)

161,000 men

≈3 lives saved per 1,000 screened over 20 years2

30-50% overdiagnosis

Cochrane Review

5 RCTs

No significant difference in overall survival3

High overtreatment rate, harms from biopsy and surgery

Despite decades of follow-up, PSA screening has shown little to no reduction in all-cause mortality. At the same time, it has led to widespread overdiagnosis and overtreatment--resulting in unnecessary surgeries, radiation, anxietyerectile dysfunctionurinary incontinence, and diminished quality of life.

The "7-to-1 Benefit Ratio": A Modeling Fantasy

The Telegraph's claim that targeted screening gives seven healthy years for every one year lost comes from Deloitte's unverified modeling. But the assumptions behind this model remain unpublished. Here's what we do know:

  • The model assumes harms from overdiagnosis and overtreatment have been reduced by 79% due to improved MRI and active surveillance.
  • It ignores the psychological toll of false positives and cancer labeling.
  • It inflates the value of detecting cancers that may never become symptomatic.

None of these assumptions are supported by rigorous, real-world NHS data or RCTs. That's why the UK National Screening Committee has repeatedly declined to recommend PSA screening, instead waiting on a more robust evidence review due in late 20254.

From Britain to the U.S.: What the CDC Says

In the U.S., the CDC echoes the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), which in 2018 issued a nuanced recommendation:

"Men aged 55-69 should make individual decisions about PSA screening after discussing the benefits and harms with their doctor. Routine screening is not recommended for men over 70."5

The CDC further explains:

Possible benefits: Early detection of high-risk cancers in a small number of men.

  • Harms from screening: False positives, unnecessary biopsies, anxiety.
  • Harms from diagnosis: Overdiagnosis--finding cancers that would never cause symptoms.
  • Harms from treatment:
    • 1 in 5 men experience urinary incontinence.
    • 2 in 3 men experience erectile dysfunction.
    • 1 in 6 men treated with radiation suffer bowel problems6.

In sum, the CDC--like the UK NSC--does not endorse mass PSA screening. Instead, it supports informed decision-making, emphasizing that most prostate cancers grow slowly or not at all.

"It Will Save the NHS Money" -- Or Will It?

The Telegraph also claimed that screening would be cheaper than breast cancer screening, citing fewer eligible men (1 million vs. 6.5 million women). But this ignores the costs of diagnostic cascades:

  • mpMRI scans cost £350-£450 each.
  • Prostate biopsies cost ~£1,000.
  • Overdiagnosis and overtreatment lead to costly surgeries, hormone therapy, and long-term care.

In fact, UK modeling shows that screening just 40% of eligible men would increase NHS costs by £314 million in the first year alone7.

The Real Story Behind "100% Survival at Stage 1"

The July 26 article implied that catching every case at Stage 1 would save every life. This misleads readers by confusing survival statistics with actual outcomes.

  • Lead-time bias: Early detection inflates survival time without extending life.
  • Length bias: Screening picks up slow-growing, non-lethal cancers.
  • Overdiagnosis: Up to half of screen-detected cancers would never become symptomatic8.

"Catching it early" is only meaningful when treatment improves outcomes without causing disproportionate harm.

What Informed Men Around the World Can Actually Do

If not mass PSA screening, then what? Here's a more grounded, evidence-aligned path forward:

  1. Risk-Based, Informed Screening
  • Men with a family history or of African descent may benefit from a shared decision-making approach with their doctor.
  • Use second-generation biomarkers (like PHI or 4Kscore) and MRI to refine risk stratification.
  1. Embrace Active Surveillance
  • Most low-risk prostate cancers do not require immediate treatment. Active monitoring often avoids overtreatment without compromising survival.
  1. Target the Root Causes with Proven Lifestyle Interventions GreenMedInfo's database tracks over 1,000 peer-reviewed studies on natural compounds and lifestyle strategies that support prostate health9:

Natural Agent

Clinical Benefit

Source

Lycopene

↓ prostate cancer incidence and mortality10

Nutrients, 2025

Pomegranate Extract

↑ PSA doubling time (15 → 54 months)11

Clin Cancer Res, 2006

Green Tea Catechins (EGCG)

↓ progression in high-risk men12

Cancer Prev Res, 2015

These natural strategies work by lowering inflammation, reducing oxidative stress, balancing hormones, and supporting detoxification--without the harm of invasive procedures.

Final Thoughts

The Telegraph's campaign may reflect sincere concern, but its conclusions are not supported by the highest levels of evidence. Mass PSA screening is a seductive idea that has already failed to deliver on its promise in multiple countries.

Men deserve real health freedom--not to be pushed into aggressive medicalization, but empowered to make choices grounded in science, not spin.


References

1. Donnelly, Laura. "The Proof That Prostate Screening Benefits Outweigh the Risks." The Telegraph, 29 July 2025.

2. Telegraph View. "Prostate Cancer Screening Will Save Lives and Money." The Telegraph, 30 July 2025.

3. Shirreff, Lauren, and Emily Craig. "Call to Action: Prostate Cancer Screening in the UK." The Telegraph, 26 July 2025.

4. Cancer Research UK. "Why There Isn't a Prostate Cancer Screening Programme." Accessed July 2025.

5. CDC. "Should I Get Screened for Prostate Cancer?" February 11, 2025. https://www.cdc.gov/prostate-cancer/screening/get-screened.html

6. CDC. "Possible Harms from Prostate Cancer Screening and Treatment." Accessed July 2025.

7. Thorn JC et al. "Impact of PSA Testing on NHS Costs." BMC Health Services Research, 2023.

8. GreenMedInfo. "The Dark Side of Prostate Cancer Screening." 2024. www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/dark-side-prostate-cancer-screening

9. GreenMedInfo. "Prostate Cancer Database." www.greenmedinfo.com/disease/prostate-cancer

10. Balali F et al. "Lycopene and Cancer Risk." Nutrients, 2025.

11. Pantuck AJ et al. "Pomegranate Juice and PSA Progression." Clin Cancer Res, 2006.

12. Bettuzzi S et al. "Green Tea Catechins for Prostate Cancer Prevention." Cancer Prev Res, 2015.

13. Ji, Sayer. "The Cancer Deception." SayerJi.Substack.com, 2025. https://sayerji.substack.com/p/the-cancer-deception

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